Where the week happened
Each numbered area is one of the stories below, drawn over the counties its warnings covered.
- Flash flooding in the Southwest, Sep 15–17
- Flash flooding in the Upper Midwest, Sep 19–20
- Severe storms in the Southern Plains, Sep 19–20
- Flash flooding in Idaho, Sep 18
The same areas as a list
- 1. Flash flooding in the Southwest and Rockies, September 15 to 17 · Water · 26 counties drawn
- 2. Flash flooding in the Upper Midwest and Midwest, September 19 to 20 · Water · 54 counties drawn
- 3. Severe storms in the Southern Plains and Texas, September 19 to 20 · Storms · 102 counties drawn
- 4. Flash flooding in Idaho, September 18 · Water · 8 counties drawn
When it happened
- Fewer warnings
- More warnings
- Impact on people reported
View as a table
| Day | Warnings | Story on the map | Documented impact on people |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | 742 | — | — |
| Sep 15 | 807 | 1 | Yes |
| Sep 16 | 817 | 1 | Yes |
| Sep 17 | 694 | 1 | Yes |
| Sep 18 | 834 | 4 | Yes |
| Sep 19 | 1,069 | 2, 3 | Yes |
| Sep 20 | 1,108 | 2, 3 | Yes |
1Floodwaters kill a child and two adults near Newcomb, New Mexico
SEP 15, 3 PM UTC
First warning
San Juan County, Utah
SEP 15, 3 PM UTC
Considerable threat
San Juan County, Utah
SEP 15, 6 PM UTC
County order
Emery County, Utah
SEP 16, 1 PM UTC
County order
Emery County, Utah
SEP 17, 1 PM UTC
County order
Emery County, Utah
SEP 17, 3 PM UTC
Last warning
Maricopa County, Arizona
- Flash flooding — coloured as water. 26 counties in the Southwest, Sep 15–17.
Near Newcomb, New Mexico, early on September 16, a child and two adults drowned after floodwaters swept them away on the Navajo Nation, The Associated Press reported via ABC News. Flash flood warnings covered the area that day, but the available accounts do not establish whether those who died received them.
The regional warnings began the previous morning in San Juan County, Utah, with a considerable damage threat designation, part of the Southwest flooding marked 1 on the map. That afternoon, the Emery County Sheriff’s Office issued this message: “POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING IN THE GOBLIN VALLEY AND SAN RAFAEL AREA”. Responders rescued everyone trapped by flooding in Little Wildhorse Canyon that day and escorted them out before 10 p.m., ABC4 reported via AOL.
At 917 PM MDT, the public reported thunderstorms producing heavy rain over the Gold Mountain Burn Scar.
On the Navajo Nation, the Commission on Emergency Management’s September 16 assessment reported overnight evacuations and severe washouts requiring transportation crews. The Navajo Nation Council announced that Sanostee Day School and Tohaali Community School would remain closed for the rest of the week. The council and commission had reaffirmed a Nation-wide emergency the previous day because of storms, flooding and road damage.
In Arizona that Wednesday, state troopers pushed three stranded vehicles out of floodwater at Scottsdale’s Princess Drive on-ramp, Arizona’s Family reported. The station also reported a helicopter rescue of two people from a car stranded in a wash. In Mesa, firefighters brought occupants of vehicles near Higley Road out safely, according to FOX 10 Phoenix.
By Wednesday night, the weather service in Grand Junction was directing people near Colorado’s Gold Mountain burn scar to higher ground and away from the Cutler and Dexter Creek drainages. Its warning stated: “Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the Gold Mountain Burn Scar.” Flood concerns continued into Thursday in southern Utah, where the weather service advised campers and hikers to avoid streams and creeks.
2Neighbors help evacuate a flooded care center in New Richland, Minnesota
SEP 19, 2 AM UTC
First warning
Fillmore County, Minnesota
SEP 21, 12 AM UTC
Last warning
Mower County, Minnesota
- Flash flooding — coloured as water. 54 counties in the Upper Midwest, Sep 19–20.
In New Richland, Minnesota, on September 19, a neighbor supplied a pontoon boat as students and first responders helped evacuate 36 care-center residents, FOX 9 reported. Residents were relocated to other senior-care communities after floodwater entered the building.
The regional flooding, marked 2 on the map, had prompted a flash flood warning in Fillmore County the previous evening. Early Saturday, the weather service in the Twin Cities relayed a report from law enforcement: “At 107 AM CDT, local law enforcement reported thunderstorms producing heavy rain in southern Waseca county along the MN Highway 30 corridor.”
Rapid-onset flooding of creeks, streams, drainage ditches, streets, underpasses, low-lying areas, and other poor drainage areas.
At New Richland Care Center, opening a door let more water inside. Facility administrator Robert Johannsen told FOX 9: “At that time, it was knee-deep in the building. Every time you would open the door, water would rush in.” The evacuation depended on people and a boat reaching residents inside the flooded building.
Beyond the care center, about 80% of New Richland’s homes were damaged by the flash flood, The Minnesota Star Tribune reported on September 20. Officials offered sandbags and help finding overnight lodging, according to MPR News. Across this regional flooding, the reporting reviewed recorded no deaths or injuries.
In Cedar Rapids on September 20, officials reported water entering basements and deployed six portable pumps along major sanitary sewer lines, KCRG reported. Prairie Creek overtopped J Street SW, prompting a street closure. The flooding had moved from an evacuation emergency in New Richland to another community’s effort to keep water out of homes.
3Storm winds reach about 75 mph in Herington, Kansas
SEP 19, 6 PM UTC
First warning
Jeff Davis County, Texas
SEP 20, 7 AM UTC
Last warning
McPherson County, Kansas
- Severe storms — coloured as storms. 102 counties in the Southern Plains, Sep 19–20.
In Herington, Kansas, on Saturday evening, law enforcement reported strong storm winds. The weather service in Topeka relayed the observation: “At 619 PM CDT, law enforcement reported wind gusts in Herington around 75 mph.” That was a reported gust, not simply a wind speed forecast in advance of the storm.
The broader severe-weather episode, marked 3 on the map, began with a warning in Jeff Davis County, Texas, earlier that afternoon. By 3:55 p.m. Central, the weather service in Norman had warned northern Woods County and northeastern Woodward County in Oklahoma, telling people to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.
At 6:40 p.m. Central that evening, the weather service in Topeka stated that storms were producing widespread wind damage in a warning naming Council Grove, Alma and Eskridge. It told people to shelter inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. The warning, reproduced by Winter Weather Warnings, did not identify damaged properties or quantify losses.
The distinction matters: Norman’s warning said, “Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.” Those words described anticipated effects, unlike Topeka’s report of damage already occurring. Warnings continued into early Sunday in McPherson County. As far as the reporting reviewed shows, no deaths or injuries were reported for this episode.
4Rexburg students bail out flooded basement apartments
SEP 18, 3 AM UTC
First warning
Madison County, Idaho
SEP 18, 4 AM UTC
County order
Madison County, Idaho
SEP 18, 4 AM UTC
County order
Madison County, Idaho
SEP 18, 4 AM UTC
Considerable threat
Jefferson County, Idaho
SEP 19, 2 AM UTC
Last warning
Boise County, Idaho
- Flash flooding — coloured as water. 8 counties in Idaho, Sep 18.
In Rexburg, Idaho, flooding entered apartment buildings on Thursday night, BYU-Idaho Radio reported the following day. At Heritage, residents gathered to help neighbors in flooded basement apartments, part of the Idaho flooding marked 4 on the map.
The first flash flood warning for Madison County went out at 9:51 p.m. Mountain. The sheriff’s office followed with: “Madison County: FLASH FLOOD WARNING. Avoid low areas and never cross floodwater.” A later county message offered sandbag help, and by 10:25 p.m. a warning in Jefferson County carried a considerable damage threat designation.
Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around the Big Rock Burn Scar.
On Friday, weather service warnings also addressed potential flooding and debris flows around the Big Rock and Ohio burn scars. Those warnings did not establish that homes or roads there had been destroyed. In northeastern Boise County, however, a weather service warning relayed emergency management’s report of debris on State Highway 21, according to the notice republished by GovOneStop.
Madison County Emergency Management reported distributing more than 1,200 sandbags in the county, BYU-Idaho Radio reported on September 18. The county also deployed pump trucks to drain roads and apartment complexes, while flooded roads stopped students trying to reach other places to help. The reporting reviewed found no deaths or injuries reported from this Idaho flooding.
At Heritage during the overnight flooding, neighbors spent an hour removing water with buckets, bins and bowls, according to BYU-Idaho Radio. Joaquin Minnick, a university freshman and Heritage resident, told the station: “The water probably got up to my ankles on the basement floor”. Residents were using what they had to help clear water from their neighbors’ apartments.
How BePrepared watches this, all year
This report exists because we already watch the whole country. Every couple of minutes, around the clock, we read the emergency alerts going out across all fifty states and territories, and we keep them. A month of that record is what you have just read.
The national picture is the part most people never see. What matters to you is much smaller: which of these warnings would have reached your street, and what the risks around you look like on an ordinary day.
That is what BePrepared is for. Put in your ZIP code and you get the picture for where you live — the flood, fire and storm history around you, the dams and facilities nearby, and a plan for your household rather than a general one. With a free account you can keep a watchlist of the places you care about, like your home, your parents' address, and your kids' school, and set what you want to hear about.
Where it hit hardest
Counted as distinct warnings, and as the days a county spent under one. A county is the smallest area these warnings describe.
Warnings by region
- Southwest254
- Southern Plains142
- Midwest107
- Rockies91
- Ohio Valley89
Most days under a warning
- Jackson County, AR8 days
- Woodruff County, AR8 days
- Calhoun County, IL8 days
- Marion County, FL8 days
- Fayette County, IL8 days
- Lincoln County, MO8 days
- Citrus County, FL8 days
- Levy County, FL8 days
Where the warnings landed
- Flooding
- Extreme heat
- Severe storms
- Everything else
Flooding4,929 warnings · 725 counties
Extreme heat4,560 warnings · 595 counties
Severe storms2,866 warnings · 573 counties
Fire165 warnings · 63 counties
Safety & civil145 warnings · 83 counties
Tornadoes128 warnings · 52 counties
View as a table
| County | State | Warnings | Most frequent kind |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandoval | NM | 96 | Flooding |
| McKinley | NM | 95 | Flooding |
| Pima | AZ | 87 | Flooding |
| Socorro | NM | 87 | Everything else |
| Cibola | NM | 70 | Everything else |
| Maricopa | AZ | 69 | Flooding |
| Lincoln | NM | 67 | Flooding |
| Otero | NM | 64 | Flooding |
| Cochise | AZ | 62 | Flooding |
| Rio Arriba | NM | 59 | Flooding |
| Meigs | OH | 58 | Flooding |
| Valencia | NM | 58 | Everything else |
| San Juan | NM | 55 | Flooding |
| Emery | UT | 55 | Everything else |
| Sierra | NM | 54 | Flooding |
| Mesa | CO | 52 | Everything else |
| Athens | OH | 50 | Flooding |
| Pinal | AZ | 48 | Flooding |
| Rio Blanco | CO | 47 | Everything else |
| Woods | OK | 46 | Severe storms |
The human record
What it cost, and who reported it
These figures are not ours. Our archive records that a warning was issued, never what happened next, so every number here comes from the organization named beside it and was retrieved on September 22, 2026.
Toll
3deaths
Two adults and one child drowned after being swept away by floodwaters near Newcomb, New Mexico, early on September 16, 2026.
Source: The Associated Press via ABC News
ArchiveOur records show flash flooding warnings covering this area on September 16.
Toll
0injuries in this incident
No one was hurt in the September 16 incident involving three stranded drivers on Scottsdale's Loop 101 on-ramp at Princess Drive.
Source: Arizona's Family (KTVK/KPHO)
Displaced
The Navajo Nation Commission on Emergency Management reported overnight evacuations and identified U.S. Highway 191 between mileposts 451 and 456 as a primary flood-affected area in its September 16 assessment.
Rescue
3vehicles
Arizona Department of Public Safety troopers pushed three stranded vehicles out of approximately two feet of water on Scottsdale's Loop 101 on-ramp at Princess Drive on September 16.
Source: Arizona's Family (KTVK/KPHO)
ArchiveOur records show flash flooding warnings covering this area on September 16.
Rescue
2people rescued
A helicopter rescue team saved two people in their 80s from a car stranded in a wash along State Route 238 on September 16.
Source: Arizona's Family (KTVK/KPHO)
Toll
36residents evacuated
Flooding forced the evacuation of 36 residents from New Richland Care Center on September 19.
Source: FOX 9
Toll
MPR News reported no immediate reports of injuries from the southern Minnesota flooding.
Source: MPR News
ArchiveOur records place this event in Minnesota between 2026-09-19 and 2026-09-20.
Displaced
A neighbor supplied a pontoon boat, and students and first responders helped evacuate New Richland Care Center before residents were relocated to other senior-care communities.
Source: FOX 9
Rescue
4homes reached in boat rescues
New Richland firefighters rescued residents from four homes by boat, city administrator Tyler Lendt said.
Source: The Minnesota Star Tribune
In their words
Care-center administrator Robert Johannsen described water entering the building during the evacuation.
“At that time, it was knee-deep in the building. Every time you would open the door, water would rush in.”
Robert Johannsen, Facility administrator, New Richland Care Center, to FOX 9 Source: FOX 9
Damage
At 6:40 p.m. CDT on September 19, 2026, NWS Topeka stated that storms were producing widespread wind damage in a warning naming Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista and McFarland, without identifying damaged properties or quantifying losses.
Source: National Weather Service Topeka, reproduced by Winter Weather Warnings
ArchiveOur records show severe storms warnings covering this area on September 19.
Response
NWS Topeka instructed people in the September 19 warning area covering Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista and McFarland to seek shelter immediately inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows.
Source: National Weather Service Topeka, reproduced by Winter Weather Warnings
ArchiveOur records show severe storms warnings covering this area on September 19.
Response
At 3:55 p.m. CDT on September 19, 2026, NWS Norman issued a severe thunderstorm warning for northern Woods County and northeastern Woodward County and instructed people to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
Source: National Weather Service Norman, reproduced by Winter Weather Warnings
ArchiveOur records show severe storms warnings covering this area on September 19.
Response
At 6:17 p.m. CDT on September 19, 2026, NWS Midland/Odessa issued a flash flood warning for south-central Pecos County and north-central Brewster County until 8:15 p.m., describing flooding as ongoing or expected shortly and instructing drivers to turn around at flooded roads and residents to report observed flooding to emergency services.
Source: National Weather Service Midland/Odessa, reproduced by GovOneStop
ArchiveOur records show severe storms warnings covering this area on September 19.
In their words
Heritage resident Joaquin Minnick described water reaching his ankles inside the basement.
“The water probably got up to my ankles on the basement floor”
Joaquin Minnick, BYU-Idaho freshman and Heritage apartment resident, to BYU-Idaho Radio Source: BYU-Idaho Radio
Damage
In its September 18 report on flooding that began Thursday night, BYU-Idaho Radio confirmed flooding at Heritage, Alpine Chalet, Bunkhouse and Parkview Apartments in Rexburg.
Source: BYU-Idaho Radio
ArchiveOur records show flash flooding warnings covering this area on September 18.
Damage
The National Weather Service's September 18 warning for northeastern Boise County stated that emergency management reported debris on Idaho State Highway 21 between mileposts 103 and 105.
Source: National Weather Service, republished by GovOneStop
ArchiveOur records show flash flooding warnings covering this area on September 18.
Closed
Flooded roads stopped students traveling to help elsewhere, and the county deployed pump trucks to drain roads and apartment complexes.
Source: BYU-Idaho Radio
Response
Heritage residents gathered to help residents of flooded basement apartments and spent an hour removing water with buckets, bins and bowls.
Source: BYU-Idaho Radio
For 3 of these stories, research looked for reported deaths and injuries and found none. As far as the record shows, no one was hurt.
The numbers behind this report
Every warning counted once, by type, place, day and hour, with the method below and the whole table downloadable at the end of the page.
What was warned about
| Alert type | Warnings | Messages |
|---|---|---|
| Special Weather Statement | 1,418 | 1,418 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 1,371 | 1,371 |
| Flood Advisory | 663 | 663 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 578 | 578 |
| Small Craft Advisory | 467 | 2,866 |
| Flood Warning | 260 | 346 |
| Flood Watch | 252 | 379 |
| Heat Advisory | 170 | 228 |
Where
| State | Warnings |
|---|---|
| NM | 550 |
| KS | 377 |
| AZ | 365 |
| TX | 348 |
| CO | 344 |
| IA | 244 |
| OH | 235 |
| UT | 230 |
The busiest hour of the period was 6pm local time, with 599 warnings.
Counties reached most often
| County | State | Warnings |
|---|---|---|
| Sandoval | NM | 96 |
| McKinley | NM | 95 |
| Pima | AZ | 87 |
| Socorro | NM | 87 |
| Cibola | NM | 70 |
| Maricopa | AZ | 69 |
| Lincoln | NM | 67 |
| Otero | NM | 64 |
| Cochise | AZ | 62 |
| Rio Arriba | NM | 59 |
A county with no alerts is not a county with no risk. It can mean a quiet period, or a hazard that this feed does not carry.
When the warnings arrived
View as a table
| Local hour | Warnings | Of which most severe |
|---|---|---|
| 12am | 133 | 2 |
| 1am | 118 | 6 |
| 2am | 145 | 0 |
| 3am | 138 | 0 |
| 4am | 118 | 1 |
| 5am | 98 | 0 |
| 6am | 126 | 0 |
| 7am | 104 | 2 |
| 8am | 108 | 1 |
| 9am | 121 | 0 |
| 10am | 124 | 4 |
| 11am | 147 | 2 |
| 12pm | 151 | 3 |
| 1pm | 266 | 8 |
| 2pm | 395 | 2 |
| 3pm | 520 | 5 |
| 4pm | 592 | 7 |
| 5pm | 584 | 8 |
| 6pm | 599 | 13 |
| 7pm | 488 | 6 |
| 8pm | 352 | 2 |
| 9pm | 270 | 5 |
| 10pm | 220 | 7 |
| 11pm | 154 | 1 |
The feed repeats itself
View as a table
| Stage | Count |
|---|---|
| Messages received | 9,472 |
| Of which updates | 4,577 |
| Of which cancels | 0 |
| Distinct warnings | 6,071 |
| Counties reached | 2,817 |
How severe they were
- Minor
- Moderate
- Severe
- Extreme
- Not classified
View as a table
| Severity | Warnings |
|---|---|
| Minor | 1,281 |
| Moderate | 1,951 |
| Severe | 2,707 |
| Extreme | 85 |
| Not classified | 47 |
What people were told to do
- Avoid
- Follow instructions
- Shelter
- Everything else
Where those instructions came from
- Shelter (1,394) — 298 corroborated as flood, 69 corroborated as tornado, 9 corroborated as wildfire, 1,018 with no hazard stated in the alert text
- Evacuate (7) — 6 corroborated as wildfire, 1 with no hazard stated in the alert text
View as a table
| Response | Warnings | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Avoid | 2,302 | 37.9% |
| Follow instructions | 1,755 | 28.9% |
| Shelter | 1,394 | 23.0% |
| Prepare | 330 | 5.4% |
| Monitor | 220 | 3.6% |
| Unstated | 57 | 0.9% |
| Evacuate | 7 | 0.1% |
| All clear | 6 | 0.1% |
What this report cannot tell you
- This report records the warnings that were sent: when, where, and what people were told to do. It cannot say whether anyone received them, whether they acted, or whether they had anywhere to go.
- Deaths, injuries, damage and acreage come from the news organizations and agencies named beside each figure. Our own records measure warnings, never outcomes, and are never the source for a toll.
- A county is the smallest area these alerts describe, so "a county was warned" does not mean every street in it was at risk.
- Where no figure has been reported, this report says so rather than estimating.
How these numbers were counted
Counted SEP 14, 2026 – SEP 21, 2026 · Frozen at publishThe alert figures in this report — how many warnings, where, when, and how severe — come from the alerts this archive received from FEMA IPAWS and the National Weather Service between September 14, 2026 and September 21, 2026, counted once and frozen when the report was published.
Deaths, damage and acreage are not ours and are never drawn from this archive. Each is attributed to the organization that reported it, above.
What was counted
- cap_status = 'Actual' (tests, exercises and demos excluded)
- SAME test codes RWT/RMT/DMO/NPT/NAT excluded, and any event type containing "test"
- An event is the first message of a CAP identifier chain; updates and cancels are counted separately
- Alert time is cap_sent, falling back to ingest time when the feed omits it
- Counties come from the alert geocodes (SAME/FIPS); statewide codes are not counted as counties
What these numbers cannot tell you
- Lead time is the gap between when an alert was sent and when it takes effect. This archive collapses CAP onset into effective, so for many products those are the same instant by design — it is not a measure of forecast warning time.
- 59 alerts expire exactly 24 hours after they were sent because the feed omitted an expiry and the ingest substitutes a default. They are excluded from the duration distribution rather than charted as real forecasts.
- Evacuation and shelter figures are RESPONSE counts. They record what people were told to do, not what caused it; where the alert text does not name a hazard, the row is reported as unstated.
- Hour-of-day figures use each alert’s own local time, resolved from its state. Alerts spanning several states resolve to the first state in their geocodes.
- National Weather Service alerts began arriving in volume on 2026-06-12. Earlier months hold only the handful that reached this archive by other routes, so they undercount weather alerts badly and cannot be compared with later months.
- Population figures are not available for these counties, so alert counts are reported per county and never per resident.
This archive
Collection began 2026-03-27. National Weather Service alerts began arriving in volume on 2026-06-12 (a small number reached the archive by other routes from 2026-03-31). Months from 2026-07-01 onward can be compared with each other; earlier ones cannot.
For newsrooms and researchers
Use these figures
Journalists, emergency managers and researchers are welcome to reuse anything in this report, including the underlying counts, with attribution. Version 1 of these figures is frozen: if a correction changes them, it appears above as a dated note rather than silently replacing what you cited.
BePreparedSolutions.co. "Floods bring deaths in New Mexico and evacuations in Minnesota." Alert Pulse, September 22, 2026. https://bepreparedsolutions.co/reports/alert-pulse/week-2026-09-14
Source: BePrepared Solutions, Alert Pulse (2026). Alert counts from FEMA IPAWS and National Weather Service feeds; casualty and damage figures as attributed in the report.
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